Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000147 0.000164 0.000182 0.000203 0.000227 0.000252 0.000281
2025-08-17 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000204 0.000241 0.000285 0.000339
2025-08-24 0.000103 0.000129 0.000160 0.000200 0.000251 0.000311 0.000390
2025-08-31 0.000089 0.000117 0.000152 0.000199 0.000261 0.000339 0.000446
2025-09-07 0.000078 0.000108 0.000146 0.000199 0.000272 0.000368 0.000505
2025-09-14 0.000069 0.000099 0.000139 0.000197 0.000280 0.000393 0.000560
2025-09-21 0.000063 0.000093 0.000136 0.000200 0.000293 0.000426 0.000630
2025-09-28 0.000058 0.000088 0.000132 0.000201 0.000305 0.000457 0.000697
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000082 0.000127 0.000199 0.000312 0.000482 0.000758
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000080 0.000126 0.000204 0.000328 0.000521 0.000843
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000076 0.000123 0.000204 0.000337 0.000550 0.000915
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000072 0.000120 0.000204 0.000347 0.000579 0.000989
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000068 0.000116 0.000202 0.000352 0.000604 0.001058
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000065 0.000114 0.000204 0.000364 0.000639 0.001149
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000061 0.000110 0.000201 0.000368 0.000662 0.001221
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000058 0.000107 0.000200 0.000375 0.000691 0.001304
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000055 0.000104 0.000200 0.000384 0.000722 0.001397
2025-12-07 0.000026 0.000052 0.000101 0.000198 0.000389 0.000748 0.001479
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000051 0.000100 0.000201 0.000403 0.000791 0.001598
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000049 0.000099 0.000202 0.000414 0.000828 0.001710
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000047 0.000096 0.000201 0.000419 0.000856 0.001803
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000046 0.000096 0.000205 0.000437 0.000910 0.001955
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000044 0.000094 0.000205 0.000446 0.000946 0.002073